夏志明Zhiming Xia

教授

 博士生导师  硕士生导师
性别:男
学历:博士研究生毕业
在职信息:在职
所在单位:数学学院
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Ratio Test to Detect Change in the Variance of Linear Process

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影响因子:2.346
DOI码:10.1080/02331880903461326
发表刊物:Statistics
关键字:ratio test; linear processes; variance change point; consistent test; rate of convergence
摘要:An adaptation of the method of Horvath et al. [Ratio tests for change point detection, Inst. Math. Stat. 1 (2008), pp. 293-304] is proposed to detect change in the variance of a linear process. In comparison with the existing tests, the new one does not require the estimation of the long-run variance. The test is robust against misspecification. Its asymptotic property is investigated under the no change null hypothesis. A Monte Carlo study shows that our test has reasonably good size and power properties in moderate samples. We also discuss how to estimate the change point which has not been discussed by the existing literatures. The consistency and rate of convergence for the change point estimator are also established. We demonstrate the applicability of our method to estimate the time of change of the variance of an ARMA(1,1) process. The effectiveness of the method is examined by analysing a real example.
论文类型:期刊论文
卷号:45
期号:2
页面范围:189-198
ISSN号:0233-1888
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收录刊物:SCI
第一作者:Wenzhi Zhao
合写作者:Zhiming Xia